Mortgage rates are continuing to move higher today. Positive economic data combined with the news surrounding the next Fed Chair are contributing to the rise. Tomorrow is a big day for the markets with the ECB meeting so we could see another change in rates at that time. Read on for more details.

Market Outlook 10.23.17 from Total Mortgage on Vimeo.

Where are mortgage rates going?                 

Rates still moving higher              

Some positive economic data this morning is contributing to the continued upward push for Treasury yields.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury note (the best market indicator of where mortgage rates are going) is now up to 2.45%–it’s highest position in seven months. Mortgage rates typically move in the same direction as the 10-year yield and are similarly dealing with some upward pressure this week.

Click here to get today’s latest mortgage rates (Nov. 1, 2017).

Tomorrow we get the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) so we’ll see what kind of impact the bond sell-off this past week has had on the mortgage market as a whole.

We are also going to be dealing with the news out of the European Central Bank tomorrow as they hold a very important meeting on monetary policy.

The expectation is that they’ll make some sort of adjustment to their current bond-buying program. Analysts are calling for a reduction to 30-40 billion euros of assets purchased every month, down from 60 billion.

Get the GreenLight and close in 21 days* 

There will be a press conference with ECB President Mario Draghi immediately following the meeting. Financial market participants will be closely watching and we could certainly see a market reaction after a decision comes out.

Rate/Float Recommendation             

Lock in your rate today

Mortgage rates have been on the rise the past week. The good news is that they have a long ways to go before they get anywhere close to what would be considered high levels for 2017.

Still, we are recommending that borrowers lock a rate on a refinance or purchase sooner rather than later. If you’re not faced with an immediate decision, you could choose to float and try to get in on a dip–but that’s a risky game to play and it’s definitely not for everyone.

Click here to head to our Mortgage Builder and figure out how much you could save. 

Today’s economic data:                          

Durable Goods Orders 

New orders came in over a fully point higher than the consensus for September at 2.2%, putting them at 8.3% year over year. Ex-transportation ticked up 0.7% in September, bringing them to 7.5% year over year. Core capital goods moved up 1.3% in September, making it 7.8% year over year. Overall, it’s a very strong durable goods report.

New Home Sales 

New Home Sales for September came in at an annualized rate of 667,000, which is well above the consensus for 555,000.

EIA Petroleum Status Report 

For the week of 10/20/17:

  • Crude oil: -5.7 M barrels
  • Gasoline: 0.9 M barrels
  • Distillates: 0.5 M barrels

Notable events this week:            




  • Durable Goods Orders
  • New Home Sales
  • EIA Petroleum Status Report


  • International Trade in Goods
  • Jobless Claims
  • European Central Bank Meeting
  • Pending Home Sales Index
  • Fedspeak


Rates are still near 2017 lows. Contact us today to see if we can save you money on your home payments.    

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Carter Wessman

Carter Wessman is originally from the charming town of Norfolk, Massachusetts. When he isn’t busy writing about mortgage related topics, you can find him playing table tennis, or jamming on his bass guitar.

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